At the Game

On our way to the game, and then, at the ballpark. 32 degrees at game time, but in the sun it felt like 34. One difference from summertime games, in the fifth inning, instead of the grounds crew dragging the infield, they used the Zamboni. But the Tribe won, 3-1.

Hardy Tribe Fans Heading to the Game

At the Game

April 8, 2018

Information Management Issues in a County EOC

During any activation, the most critical function performed at an EOC is information management. Planning, coordinating, requesting resources, documenting operations, keeping decision makers informed and other activities all rely on an accurate understanding of the situation, and that understanding can only be achieved if the right information is collected, analyzed, and understood.

In fact, during emergencies or disasters, emergency mangers could really be called information managers, since the primary function of the EOC is to develop and share an accurate common operational picture (COP).

To create an accurate COP, every EOC needs an effective information management system which can collect information from a variety of sources, ensure that it gets to the right persons in the EOC, document vital information, and analyze and display critical information is user-friendly ways. An efficient information management system will enable emergency managers to quickly determine the geographic scope of the incident, identify any injuries or damage, understand the potential impact on critical infrastructure, estimate the need for evacuation or sheltering, and identify the need for additional resources.

But efficiently processing incoming information takes time and planning.  While technology can help in collecting, sorting, and displaying information, the increasing use of communications technologies can significantly increase the amount of information that flows into an EOC. Having too much information can prevent careful analysis of data and can make it harder to recognize critical information.

Here are ten things to keep in mind while designing and implementing an information management system for your EOC.

  1. The first reports of any disaster or emergency will probably be wrong. Keep in mind that responders will need some time to accurately asses the situation.  Do not pass early information to policymakers, other agencies, or the public without emphasizing that this data is preliminary and has not been confirmed.
  2. You need an information management plan. Managing the flood of incoming information is a complex and challenging task that is the foundation for everything else that goes on in the EOC.  You aren’t going to be able to manage the flow unless you have planned and prepared to do so. At a minimum you need to know what specific information you need, who can provide it, how often you need it, how you can contact them 24/7, how it will be provided, who in the EOC will be responsible for obtaining the information, how it can be confirmed,  who will analyze it, how it will be displayed, and how it will be shared. Your information management plan, whether it is an appendix to an existing plan (EOP, EOC Operations Plan, etc.) or is organized as a stand-alone plan, should be shared with every agency that has a role in providing or receiving information from the EOC.
  3. Frequently exercise and update your information management plan. Because information management is critical to everything that is done in the EOC, it is especially important to ensure that your information management plan is up-to-date and that everyone who will use it is prepared to do so. Special care must be taken to keep contact information for various associated agencies current.
  4. You need a way to display critical information in real time. Everyone in the EOC should be able to access the current situation at any time. The EOC manager especially needs to have immediate access to the latest reports from the Incident Commander, responding agencies, supporting agencies, and other information sources.  Accurate injury and fatality information, critical infrastructure status, transportation system impacts, hospital capacity status, and shelter status are among the critical information items that should be updated and displayed in real time. Information can be displayed on an automated information system dashboard, on whiteboards, on wall-mounted monitors, on projection screens, or on specially designed status boards.
  5. Reduce the number of ways information can be transmitted to the EOC. As much as possible, develop information processes that reduce the ways information can be transmitted to the EOC. The fewer information channels you have to monitor, the more effective your information management system will be. Identify preferred channels for information sharing with supporting agencies.  Possible channels include shared incident management systems (WebEOC, etc.), designated chat rooms, designated e-mail addresses, and special telephone numbers. Planning for critical information to be transmitted to the EOC through a small number of pre-designated channels can
  6. Limit the amount of information that is transmitted to the EOC. Determine the type and amount of information you need from the various reporting agencies and ask them to report only the details that you need.  If possible, ask them to report summarized information rather than raw data.  Limiting the amount of incoming information that EOC staff members need to evaluate will make their jobs easier.  If you need additional details, you can always reach back to the reporting agencies.
  7. Push out critical information. Don’t wait for someone to ask. Be proactive, push out significant information rather than waiting for other agencies to request it. Keep policy-makers and any agencies that are providing resources fully informed of the current situation. Keep in mind that decision-makers need to understand emerging patterns rather than extreme details.
  8. Assign a team or a capable individual to maintain the Common Operational Picture (COP). Their main duties will be to collect, evaluate, analyze and consolidate information into an accurate and coherent picture of the current situation.  The team should have no other significant responsibilities, so they can respond quickly to changes in the situation.
  9. Plan for untrained personnel in your EOC. Expect that some people in your EOC from supporting agencies will be unfamiliar with EOC processes and have a plan to provide immediate assistance to help them understand their role and the EOC information processes.  No matter how often you exercise your EOC support staff, some agencies will be forced to send untrained personnel to the EOC because trained are unavailable. If possible, assign an EOC staff member to assist supporting agency representatives who are having trouble.
  10. Prepare a briefing template for briefing senior policymakers and other agencies. Prepare a briefing template to speed the process of preparing and presenting short-notice briefings to decision-makers and resource providers. Identify the most critical items of information that decision-makers need and be prepared to present it at any time upon request.

http://www.armadausa.com/News.aspx

Mar 26, 2018

Mass Shootings are a System Failure

Some folks questioned the sincerity or motivations of participants at the ‘March for Our Lives’ events. I didn’t see the event the way they did.

I was at the march and I wouldn’t characterize it as a “gun grab.” More than anything else, the speakers expressed frustration at Congress for not being willing to take action that might reduce the threat of gun violence in schools.

As far as people being denied an opportunity to speak, I have no knowledge of that, although it sounds bogus and I would be skeptical of it until I confirmed where the information came from. There’s a lot of bad info out there on all sides.

At the event in Cleveland, no speaker that I heard advocated “banning guns.” I did hear suggestions for more effective background checks, maybe banning sales to persons under 21, and re-imposing the now-expired ban on AR-15-type weapons. Several speakers did discuss other steps that could lead to meaningful change.

I think some of the frustration that the marchers (and others) feel stems from hearing the argument that since no single action can be guaranteed to stop all future shootings, we should therefore do nothing. It would be like going to the doctor and being told that you have cancer, but while there are several possible treatments that might be effective, no single treatment is guaranteed to work completely, so we’re not going to do anything.

My own opinion is that we need to address mass shootings in the same way we address other disasters. When a plane crashes, or a bridge fails, we conduct a comprehensive investigation to identify the root cause. Invariably, we find that the disaster was the result of multiple failures. Mass shootings are the same. They happen when the complex system we have developed to prevent extreme anti-social behavior fails at multiple points.

When discussing possible causes of disasters, please note that there is a significant difference between “contributing cause” and “cause.” Contributing causes contribute to the outcome, but they do not by themselves determine the outcome.

If a long chain of events has occurred where multiple opportunities to intervene have been missed or ignored, and as a result a troubled person finally decides to head back to his old high school and shoot the place up, a contributing cause will certainly be the availability of firearms. If he can’t get a gun, he can’t shoot up the school. That is irrefutable. A firearm didn’t cause the event, it didn’t motivate the person to act, it didn’t shoot people on its own, but it did make the ultimate disaster possible, so it was one of a number of contributing causes.

And yes, he could use a knife or a bomb, and in those cases the contributing factor would be the availability of bomb-making materials and the availability of edged weapons, but this discussion is about gun violence.

My point is that these incidents are the result of a long chain of events, of which firearms availability is just one, and certainly not the main one. Nobody shoots up their high school simply because they had access to a firearm. Mental health and school security are also contributing factors and should certainly be addressed in any comprehensive attempt to reduce the incidence of school shootings. There are many other potential contributing factors as well.

These events are thankfully rare because we do have systems in place to identify extremely troubled individuals and to intervene. It is only when these systems fail – often at multiple points – that we get these horrific shootings.

There is no simple solution to shootings in schools, churches, nightclubs, movie theaters, concert venues, office buildings, and other places. Focusing on a single factor, like the availability of firearms, is a dead end that won’t take us where we want to go. But denying the possibility that some reform of our current gun laws can be part of the solution is equally wrongheaded. We’re never going to be able to stop all shootings, but perhaps a coordinated effort to address many of the contributing causes can reduce the number of incidents. If it takes us fifty years to cut the rate in half, we will have saved hundreds of thousands of lives.

March 26, 2018

March for Our Lives

Attended the March for Our Lives event downtown with Kerstin, Melina and Sammy the Climate and Non-Violence Dog. Because who in their right mind could actually believe that the current situation is acceptable? And who could possibly believe that we can’t do better?

March 24, 2018

Emergency Managers Can Boost Preparedness by Instilling a Sense of Urgency

 

 As emergency managers, there are two things we know about disasters, and one thing we don’t.

We know that another disaster is coming.   We don’t know when. 

But we also know that tomorrow we will have one less day to prepare than we have today.

Yet too often we behave as if we have all the time in the world.  We don’t really act like a tornado or a train wreck or a flood might happen this week.  Rarely do we think, ‘If a disaster is going to happen tomorrow, what is the one thing I should do today to prepare?’

Dealing every day with the potential consequences of disaster, we can become desensitized to the importance of our work. Our planning and training activities can become routine, we can become complacent, and our performance can become uninspired. As a result, we can be less prepared.

To maximize our level of preparedness, emergency managers must replace complacency with a sense of urgency.  We need to take steps to ensure that we ourselves, our staffs, and our partner agencies make the best possible use of the time we have to prepare for disasters. Once a disaster happens, the time for preparation is over.

Fortunately, there are steps we can take to instill a sense of urgency in ourselves, our staffs and our partner agencies. These steps aren’t difficult, but they do require constant effort and attention.  Here are ten tips for establishing and maintaining a sense of urgency within your agency and within partner agencies:

  1. Set an example. Complete your tasks on time. Don’t waste time. Act with urgency every day.
  2. Communicate the importance of urgency. Make sure people understand why a sense of urgency is necessary. Emergency preparedness is important; don’t be afraid to tell people that. Remind your staff, your colleagues in other agencies, your bosses, and the citizens in your community. Be relentless and stay focused. Never apologize for pushing people to prepare.
  3. Identify the consequences of complacency. Make sure people understand the dangers of complacency. Getting less done or completing tasks in a haphazard fashion means your community will be less prepared when disaster hits and lives may be lost.
  4. Set deadlines and hold people to them. Don’t let projects drag on and on. Finish on time and move on to the next thing.
  5. Enforce standards. Set standards of performance and address all failures to meet them. If you accept substandard performance without comment you will be setting a new, lower standard.
  6. Provide initial guidance and encouragement. Ensure staff members and supporting agencies understand exactly what they need to accomplish, make sure they have the necessary information and resources to do so, and encourage them through the process. Address obstacles or delays immediately and don’t let projects languish.
  7. Prioritize. Do the important things first. Address gaps and focus on building critical capabilities. Don’t do stuff just to do stuff. Make sure you are doing the right stuff. Continually review your priorities and adjust as necessary.
  8. Strike a balance between quality and speed. Avoid perfectionism. Your updated EOP doesn’t have to be the best EOP ever written. Better to finish it on time and move on to the next task than to drag out the project in a vain attempt to make it perfect. Value good work, but value speed as well.
  9. Emphasize the importance of continuous improvement. Every completed project, exercise, or training event should be reviewed to identify lessons learned and ways it can be done better in the future. Encourage staff and supporting agencies to identify ways to improve emergency management processes. Constantly seek greater efficiencies and effectiveness.
  10. Force change. Mix things up. Familiarity breeds complacency so look for ways to change the work experience for your staff. Cross-train, change assignments, assign new responsibilities. 

Creating and maintaining a sense of urgency is not easy.  The nature of processes, organizations, and relationships is to seek stability. Ironically, success also diminishes urgency.  We might feel that we have done a great job, so we must be doing everything right.

We’ll never be as prepared as we would like to be.  There will always be something else we wish we had done.  But doing our jobs with a sense of urgency day in and day out will ensure that we are as well-prepared as possible.

http://www.armadausa.com/News.aspx

Mar 7, 2018

No, President Obama Didn’t Give Iran $150 Billion in Unmarked Cash

During a social media discussion of President Trump’s proposed infrastructure plan, a commenter remarked that “the $150 billion in unmarked cash that Obama sent to Iran would’ve made a good size dent in the infrastructure budget.”

There is a lot of misinformation about the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, but this particular nonsense is easily refuted. The fact is, it wasn’t unmarked cash, it was Iranian assets that had been frozen under previous sanctions regimes, and we didn’t have access to it. We could not have used it for infrastructure or anything else. It was their money. And while the exact amount is unknown, it will probably be between $100 billion and $150 billion. It was returned to Iran as part of the multi-national agreement to freeze Iran’s nuclear weapons program. To date, they are in compliance with the agreement, although they still behave in ways that are problematic. Those activities, however, were never part of the agreement

http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2016/mar/17/donald-trump/no-donald-trump-we-are-not-giving-iran-150-billion/

February 26, 2018

Why Don’t We Regulate Guns Like Cars?

 

In post-Parkland discussions, a common argument against stricter regulation of firearms is that many more people are killed in auto crashes caused by drunk drivers than in mass shootings, yet there is no movement to “ban cars.”

Yet that argument is fundamentally flawed, as I noted in a comment to a Facebook post:

Driving and alcohol consumption are both highly regulated. You need to take both written and driving tests to get a driver’s license and you are required to have liability insurance. If you prove to be an irresponsible or unsafe driver, the state can take your license away. Your car also must pass safety inspections and be registered each year. Alcohol cannot be purchased by minors and vendors that sell alcohol to inebriated persons are liable criminally and civilly. Police routinely run sobriety checkpoints to identify drunk drivers. And actually, alcohol was banned once in the US and it is banned today in certain counties. Isn’t it possible that similar regulations regarding the purchase of firearms might help reduce gun violence?

 

I suspect that many people in this country – though not many NRA member, perhaps – would support a proposal to regulate firearms in the same way that driving and drinking are regulated.  Clearly, these regulations have not eliminated drunk driving crashes, but the fact that they are not 100 percent successful doesn’t mean that they are not reducing the incidence of drunk driving deaths.

February 18, 2018